Weather Alert HIGH IMPACT BULLETIN

Coastal Weather Warning: Low Pressure System Over Bay of Bengal Threatens East Coast Aquaculture Belts

AQ
Team AquaSangham
Published on 2026-08-11
Coastal Weather Warning: Low Pressure System Over Bay of Bengal Threatens East Coast Aquaculture Belts
Intensive aeration running during overcast monsoon weather to prevent dissolved oxygen crashes.
Rainfall Forecast
65 – 115 mm
Next 72-hour window
Expected Salinity Drop
5 – 10 ppt
Heavy freshwater influx
Recommended Feed Cut
50 %
Prevent benthic sludge
Lime Dosing
100 kg / acre
Buffer alkalinity & pH

Key News Bulletins & Findings

  • Low pressure area over West-Central Bay of Bengal to bring heavy rainfall across Nellore, Bapatla, and Guntur districts.
  • Sudden freshwater influx risks rapid salinity dilution and pH drops below 7.2.
  • Overcast skies to reduce natural algal photosynthesis, requiring 24-hour mechanical aeration.

1. Meteorological System Overview & Affected Coastal Districts

The India Meteorological Department (IMD) has tracked a well-marked low-pressure area over the West-Central Bay of Bengal, moving west-northwestwards toward the South Andhra Pradesh and North Tamil Nadu coasts.

The system is forecast to trigger widespread squally winds (45–55 km/h) and moderate to heavy rainfall (65 to 115 mm) across Nellore, Prakasam, Bapatla, Krishna, and West Godavari districts over the next 72 hours.

2. Water Quality Threats: Salinity Dilution, pH Crashes & Anoxia

Heavy rainfall directly into open ponds creates a dense top layer of cold, acidic freshwater. Salinity can drop abruptly by 5 to 10 ppt within a 12-hour period, inducing severe osmotic shock and premature molting in Vannamei shrimp.

Persistent overcast cloud cover eliminates sunlight-driven algal photosynthesis. Phytoplankton blooms can experience sudden die-offs (crash), turning pond water brown or clear and consuming all available dissolved oxygen as dead algae decompose.

3. 72-Hour Emergency Farm Management SOP

1. Feed Management: Cut all feeding rations by 50% immediately. If rain is continuous, cease feeding completely for 24 hours to prevent uneaten feed from rotting on the pond bottom.

2. Alkalinity Buffering: Broadcast Agricultural Limestone (CaCO3) @ 100 kg/acre or Dolomite @ 75 kg/acre along pond dykes before and during rainfall to buffer against acid runoff.

3. Drain Surface Freshwater: Open top-water surface drainage pipes to skim off the lighter freshwater layer without losing saline bottom water.

4. Continuous Aeration: Run all paddlewheel and long-arm aerators 24 hours a day to prevent thermal stratification and maintain DO above 4.5 mg/L.

Market & Farm Advisory Impact

Adverse weather may cause temporary supply disruptions and localized panic harvesting. Farmers with robust aeration and lime buffers should avoid premature harvest.

Immediate Farmer Action Plan

1Cut daily feed by 50% immediately upon onset of rainfall.
2Broadcast 100 kg/acre Agricultural Lime along pond perimeter dykes.
3Operate mechanical aerators continuously throughout day and night.
4Open surface overflow pipes to drain low-salinity rainwater.

Frequently Asked Questions

Q: Why should feeding be reduced during heavy rainfall?

Shrimp do not feed actively during rainstorms due to temperature drops and barometric pressure shifts. Uneaten pellets decompose in bottom sludge, releasing toxic ammonia and consuming vital oxygen.

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